Slow progress is still progress. The latest economic figures are out and the Canadian GDP grew by .7% in the third quarter compared to the estimate of .4%. At an annualized rate the economy grew by 2.9% in the third quarter. While still not a recession the rate of growth has been shrinking over the past few months. This is down from an estimate of 3.2%, which was driven by strong exports of oil & gas products.
The key to the reports was the changing demand from Canadian consumers which was down 1% and business investment dropped 5.1%. Both key figures which point that we are heading towards negative territory very soon. The silver lining may be that these pullbacks may give the Bank Of Canada the data they needed to start softening the interest rate hikes so we may get the soft landing that they talked about.
As things stand right now, the market has priced in a .25% interest rate increase durning the next meeting on Dec 7th. This is significantly toned down from the 100 bps and 75bps increases that we have had recently.
I look forward to hearing from you in regard to your mortgage needs.
p.s.s- I should tell you that I am licensed in Nova Scotia Brokerage (2022-3000179) Broker (2022-3000180), Ontario(M18001555) & in British Columbia(BCFSA #504098).
p.s.s.s You can download my new mortgage app here